Usually Catholics vote Liberal, I'm not sure why, but they do. Has that trend changed? I think it has. Door knocking last election, it was clear that the Chinese vote was shifting to the Conservatives, now I think the Catholic vote is also going towards Harper.
Take my Liberal parents for example. They think Trudeau walked on water. So, imagine my surprise when they wanted a plaque from PM Harper to commemorate their 60th wedding anniversary. My Mom didn't want one from the Pope, she doesn't like him (I agree), she didn't want one from Gordon Campbell, but she agreed to one from PM Harper.
My Dad actually said that Dion was better than Iggy. He was a Grand Knight in the Knights of Columbus, so he takes religion seriously. What finally got through to my parents was Iggy calling for abortions to third world nations. They were totally disgusted with his stance. Obviously the attempt by the Liberals to paint PM Harper as anti-abortion has failed badly with Catholics.
I have never seen my parents change so quickly. I usually get a good fight out of my Dad on anything Conservative, but this time I couldn't get him to argue with me. It made for family harmony, but it was boring not being able to disagree on politics with my Dad.
Now, my Uncle was a different story, he wants the 19B over 20 years for air support to go towards child poverty instead. When I turned to him and told him we would always have child poverty because it has become a profitable industry, he was speechless. He supports the NDP, and as such is a pie in the sky idealist.
Overall, BC is looking good for the Conservatives. I can tell you, when my parents think PM Harper is doing a good job, a long time barrier has been broken. They really do not like Iggy and will either vote Conservative, or refuse to vote at all. Polls can not accurately measure the true feeling on the ground.
My parents were also mad about the opposition keeping "tough on crime" legislation from being passed. They want more to be done not less, like not letting the Tamil boat into Canadian territory. The idea of a majority is now a reality, especially in the west.