Friday, May 02, 2008

Sneaky Pollster, I'm Shocked!

Well I was wondering two things today, what happened to David Aiken, he's now the invisible man, and what are the polls showing? David is still invisible, but I did find an interesting press release from Angus Reid, on an online survey done for the... Toronto Star, that should give you a hint of what's coming. Here is the press release from Angus Reid:

Tory Loss is Liberal Gain; Parties Separated by Just Three Points
Now here is the subtitle:

Harper edges Dion on seven leadership qualities, but more Canadians regard the Liberal leader as honest and trustworthy.

See now sneaky that is?

PM Harper beats up on Dion in 7 out of 8 categories, BUT Dion winning one category is the important news? Here is the table to support their report.

Thinking about the following qualities and characteristics, please say whether you think they apply to Stephen Harper? / Stéphane Dion?
----------------------------------------------------Stephen----Stéphane
----------------------------------------------------Harper-----Dion

Is a strong and decisive leader---------------------51%---------8%
Has a vision for Canada’s future-------------------47%--------30%
Can manage the economy effectively---------------42%--------14%
Understands complex issues------------------------41%--------29%
Understands the problems of Canadians----------34%--------23%
Is honest and trustworthy---------------------------33%--------38%
Inspires confidence---------------------------------32%--------10%
Generally agrees with you on issues you care about--30%--------24%

Okay, my understanding of "edges" means barely beats out, as opposed to "trounces" which means slaughters. This table is an example of a slaughter. Strong and decisive leader 51% to 8%, this wasn't the subtitle? Why not? They hone in on the one semi-positive result for Dion, a 5 point lead over PM Harper on honest and trustworthy, a few days after a staged raid on the Conservative party headquarters.

This actually disgusts me, because pollsters are supposed to be unbiased. Read the whole report, it is very sneaky.

The governing Conservative Party has lost public support over the past four weeks, with Canadian voters taking a second look at the Liberals and New Democrats, according to the Toronto Star / Angus Reid poll.

Lost public support, or dropped by 3% in an online poll?

Canadians remain uninspired by the two main federal party leaders. More than a third of respondents (37%) prefer Harper as Prime Minister, while only 10 per cent favour Dion.

Hello, 37% prefer PM Harper as compared to 10% for Dion, and Canadians are uninspired? You would think that this was the Toronto Star article, you would except that from them, but this is the Angus Reid press release.

Here is the Susan Delacourt/Star take on this report.

It seems clear that Conservatives' fortunes are being negatively affected by the RCMP raid and the legal dispute with Elections Canada over the way 2005-06 election ad funds moved "in and out" between local ridings and the national office.
Even in Alberta, a bastion of Conservative support, a majority – 51 per cent – believe the party's credibility has been eroded.


I can not find those statistics anywhere in the Angus Reid report, is Delacourt just making things up?

I know Angus Reid has to give the client what they want, and obviously the Star wants negative reports about the PM and Conservative party. Susan, your skirt is stuck in your panyhose.... oh, I mean, your bias is showing!

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

This is just a couple of GREAT examples by what we conservatives mean by BIAS in the press. Using words like "edge" when the facts do not show that word to be true.

Or saying Tories and Grits in dead heat when the numbers are 36 to 30.

If a horse were running a race; this would not be a dead heat.

It is the wording, the phrasing, the innuendo, using headlines that do not relate to the story, using personal attacks - like assassins eyes; or the story in the Halifax paper last week - 10 reasons why I Hate Steven Harper (I paraphrase).

The press does have an axe to grind with the PM and they can cry that we are just seeing boogey men in the woods, but keeping the "scary Harper" meme alive means they can pull it out at the next election and cause that same indecisiveness again.

Sigh

Anonymous said...

"Pollsters are supposed to be unbiased"

No they aren't. Pollsters are retail, they try to give their customer exact what their customers want.

wilson said...

Funny thing about the bias headlines, it gets the LibLuvers reading the article, only to discovery their party/leader really suck, and media bias gets Cons reaching for their chequebook.

Each poll confirms over and over, Conservatives have a rock solid base of 1/3 of Canadians, rock solid, non shifting, unphased by the faux scandals and media bias.
Of course the media paints it as a glass ceiling, when we know it's a rock solid base.

Amazing, seeing as the CPC is only 5 years old. Compare that to the LPC, which is as old as dirt.
Amazing, being every opposition parties target, aided by msm and a few govt bodies with a bone to pick, or a bias to show (heh StatsCan, looks like Cdns aren't so hard done by as you spin).

The next election will see Tory TV setting the agenda, with msm clammering to react/respond.
They will REALLY hate it, poor babies.

Another poll today showing Cons rock solid base:

http://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/news/story.html?id=970e88a4-f701-4c19-92ab-ebefbe574b5b

Anonymous said...

Personally, I'm looking forward to the debates. Harper will be locked in intellectual battle against a man with no policy (other than "markers") and probably needed multiple takes to say "Wash my duffy life". LOL

Anonymous said...

In the early days of the CPC, Stephen Harper did miserably in such leadership polls. He polled well below Paul Martin and we all know how that turned out.

My point is, we conservatives should never count the big Red Machine out. The desire to rule Stephane Dion out may be understandable but it could be a costly mistake.

In my opinion, the road forward takes us toward less partisanship and more good governace.

Good governance will win us the votes we need to get a majority. Then we unleash the hidden agenda ;)

The facts are: we haven't been able to get good numbers in spite of a pathetic opposition. There's a disconnect between Harper's messaging and many Canadians.

Less toxic more upbeat. We can't lose.

Anonymous said...

"Wash my duffy life". LOL

LOL Took me a few times but I got it. That was funny.

Anonymous said...

David Akin is alive and well here.

If you want to get a different perspective on the polls, read Paul Wells' interview in Maclean's with Frank Graves of Ekos. Generation Harper gives a very different and much more positive view of polling trends than you generally find in the MSM. As Joanne of Blue Like You suggests, Conservative readers may like to sip a glass of Merlot as they read the article. Liberals will likely prefer Tums.

hunter said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
hunter said...

Thanks for the comments, I have been outside all day. I love spring!

Wilson, you hit the nail on the head, if Conservatives see bad polls, they are more likely to donate. I know I do.

Anon 8:53, Too funny! That's exactly how he said it.

Jad, I agree, everyone should read "Generation Harper", under his leadership more young people are connecting with the party.

(edited for spelling)Too much sun today I guess.